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In a developing country like Pakistan where financial and labor markets are
immature, trade is not very much open with low per capita income and high
output risk shows economic and financial uncertainty by disturbing behavior of
saving and portfolios that changes people s' decisions about family size .In this
paper ARDL model is used to examine variations in fertility preferences using
time series data by looking into statistical relationship between different
demographic and economic variables. The result shows that fertility rate is
definitelyassociated with infant death rate, participation of female in labor force
while adverselylinked with real income, unemployment, inflation and GDP growth
rate. High unemployment rates increase insecurities about labor market, while
increases in real income motivate people towards luxuries so their fertility rate
decreases. In order to reduce fertility rate the Government of Pakistan has to
expand immunization programme and family health clinics to improve child's
health to reduce infant/child mortality.
Sanam Wagma Khattak. (2019) Fertility Determinants and Economic Uncertainty, , Volume-13, Issue-3.
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