The present study was designed for estimation of future projections regarding onion area, production and consumption in
Punjab, Pakistan. The ARIMA model was employed for obtaining such forecasts. Consumption and production gap of onion
was also estimated for up-to the year 2025. The forecasted results entail onion area and production to be 47.484 thousand
hectares and 372.403 thousand tonnes in 2025, respectively. The reliability of forecasted values of ARIMA models were
ensured by comparing actual values and forecasted values for the year 2008-09. It was found that our forecasted values are
appropriate with small values of standard errors. Results of the study also point out severe gap in production and
consumption of onion in the coming years. The supply and demand gap can be avoided by taking appropriate measures in
research and development and policy-making as well.
Sultan Ali Adil, Ayesha Maqsood, Khuda Bakhsh, Sarfraz Hassan. (2012) Forecasting Demand And Supply Of Onion In Pakistani Punjab, , Volume-49, Issue-2.
